Why I Think Greater Hobart Is Worth a Serious Look Right Now
5 minute read

Why I Think Greater Hobart Is Worth a Serious Look Right Now

Hobart values are up 9.3% over the year, well ahead of the combined capitals at 6.1%. Add the tightest vacancy rate in the country and a market still below its old peak, and it is worth a closer look.

Hobart gets overlooked, but the fundamentals have quietly held up. Vacancy is around 0.4%, supply is tight, and values are still rising while the big capitals turn.

Ben Canty

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People hear Tasmania and immediately think lifestyle. Nice place to visit, maybe retire. They do not think of it as an investment market.

Hobart is not a regional town. It is a capital city. It is where the Tasmanian government sits, where the major hospitals are, where the university is, where the bulk of professional and public sector employment lives. It functions as the administrative and economic centre of an entire state. And that actually changes the investment case entirely.

The Economy

Greater Hobart has a population of around 207,000 and supports roughly 60,000 jobs. Annual economic output is around $18.2 billion.

What stands out is the industry mix:

  • Health Care and Social Assistance: 22%
  • Public Administration and Safety: 15.5%
  • Education and Training: 11.5%
  • Accommodation and Food Services: 9%
  • Professional, Scientific and Technical Services: 9%
  • Retail Trade: 7.4%

No single sector dominates. Health and government alone account for close to 40 percent of employment. Those jobs do not disappear during a downturn. They are not tied to one company or one project. They are structural.

The rental demand in Hobart is not speculative. It is driven by public servants, healthcare workers, university staff, and professionals who need to live in the city long term.

The Supply Problem

Greater Hobart has around 101,000 dwellings. Annual building approvals are running at roughly 651 per year. That works out to about 0.64 percent of the existing housing base.

That is a very low rate of new supply for a capital city region.

When you combine that with consistent population inflows tied to employment and education, the result is what you see in Hobart right now, low vacancy, limited stock, and sustained pressure on rents. When supply is that tight, it does not take much to push rents up.

What Is Being Built

The infrastructure coming into Greater Hobart is not small.

The Macquarie Point Precinct is the biggest story. The $1.13 billion stadium was approved by the Tasmanian parliament in December 2025 after years of debate. Construction is expected to start in 2026 or 2027, with the venue scheduled to open in 2031 as the home of the Tasmania Devils AFL team and the Hobart Hurricanes. The broader Macquarie Point masterplan, covering stadium, residential, commercial, hospitality and cultural space across a 10-hectare waterfront site, was approved by both state and federal governments in early 2026. The federal government has committed $240 million to the wider precinct.

That is a multi-decade transformation of central Hobart’s waterfront.

Other projects that are funded or underway:

  1. Hobart Airport runway upgrade: completed August 2025. The $130 million project now allows wide-body aircraft including the Boeing 787 and Airbus A350 to use the airport, opening the door to direct Asian routes. A separate $200 million terminal expansion is currently underway and due for completion in early 2027.
  2. Royal Hobart Hospital Redevelopment: $130 million
  3. Macquarie Wharf Upgrade: $240 million
  4. In the Hanging Garden Redevelopment: $286 million
  5. Antarctic and Science Precinct at Macquarie Point: $595 million
  6. Incat Shipbuilding Facility Expansion: $50 million

On the residential side:

  1. Skylands Masterplan in Clarence: $1.5 billion
  2. Hobart Showgrounds Redevelopment: $300 million
  3. Windermere Bay Precinct: $200 million
  4. Spring Farm Estate, Kingston: $150 million
  5. Cadbury Experience, Glenorchy: $150 million

What This Means for Property

Conditions are tight across the region. Vacancy is low. Stock on market is limited. Days on market has compressed across multiple suburbs.

And this is happening before any significant price run has occurred across the board. That is actually what you want to see, the demand conditions are building ahead of the price response, not after it.

It is not just one suburb doing the work either. Demand is spread across multiple suburbs and price brackets, which reduces the risk of buying in the wrong spot.

My Take

If I was speaking with an investor today and they wanted capital city fundamentals at a price point they cannot access in Sydney or Melbourne, Hobart would be near the top of the list.

Real employment depth. Supply that is genuinely constrained. And a serious amount of infrastructure now funded, approved and moving.

People think of Tasmania and think of lifestyle. But the investment case does not need the lifestyle angle to work.


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